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Letter "P" » Paul Kasriel Quotes
«At the intermediate and crude goods levels, we continue to see pipeline pressures toward higher inflation. Next month, I suspect we're not going to see the tobacco offset, but maybe it will be something else.»
«What this sets Greenspan up for on Thursday is to say yes, there are tentative signs the economy is slowing down and inflation continues to be well behaved.»
«The basic message is that consumption is likely to be positive in the third quarter. We're looking at most likely another quarter of relatively modest consumer spending, but positive nonetheless.»
«We're not in a recession. We're not going to be in a recession. Recovery is on the horizon. The decks are clear. The economy is in direct drive,»
«Even without the fraud, ... return on capital has been plumbing the depths, the United States is at war, government spending exploding to the upside and we're imposing tariffs on steel and lumber. What's to like?»
«We're in a situation where the economy is the most highly leveraged in the post-War period. If the Fed had to raise interest rates, that could bring the whole system down. And it's not clear that holding rates where they are or lowering them will save us from another recession.»
«The Fed is a price fixer; it fixes the price of short-term credit. If there's an increase in demand for credit, interest rates want to rise. But because the Fed is fixing the price of credit to keep rates from rising, it has to create more reserves or allow banks to create more money, and that's what leads to bubbles.»
«He goes up to Congress, and they ask him questions about everything except monetary policy. It's unprecedented that a central banker is sort of viewed as an omniscient economic policy czar. It's not his responsibility.»
«Up until 2000, households in the post-War period had never experienced a decline in their net worth on a year-end to year-end basis, ... But they did in 2000, they did in 2001, and they're on course for it again in 2002.»
«If we have a rising unemployment rate, we're going to see some tightening in credit terms to the household sector, which has been keeping things going,»