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Letter "P" » Paul Kasriel Quotes
«Even without the latest scare, households are retrenching and will continue to do so, especially in the first half,»
«In 1987 we had a sharp increase in long-term interest rates and a stock market crash when there was a run on the dollar. While a lot of people think a weaker dollar is a good thing, it essentially makes us poorer and turns out not to be a good thing.»
«To me, a cut now would just entice households to go deeper into debt, and that game has a limit to it.»
«The only reason they won't cut is because Alan Greenspan suggested he wasn't yet in the mood to cut, ... He's probably a Cubs fan as well -- they always say, 'Wait 'til next year.' In this case, Greenspan says, 'Wait 'til the second half.'»
«When you're the world's banker, you really need to maintain the world's confidence in you and your currency. If you start telling creditors you're going to pay them back in currency that doesn't buy as much, they won't want to bank with you any more.»
«We should get a little better growth in the second half -- but not enough. By the end of the year, maybe we will have enough to stabilize the unemployment rate, but I think we will probably see a further drift up in the unemployment rate.»
«You're effectively lowering the cost of capital for corporations, and anything to lower that cost will help in inducing more plant and equipment spending.»
«It's growing rapidly, and it does suggest that we're going to see at least a temporary pickup in economic activity.»
«This reflects the low interest rates we saw earlier in the summer. While I wouldn't say that a major contraction is imminent yet, I suspect this is close to being the last hurrah.»
«It's not so much the size of the deficit, but what we're doing with the funds.»