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Letter "J" » Joel Naroff Quotes
«The Fed has indicated it wants to start out slow, and it probably will. But these pressures, as they build, will force the Fed to do at least one [half-percentage-point] move by the end of the year.»
«Given how strong January existing home sales were, the surprisingly sharp decline in January new home sales may be more an adjustment to the robust December sales pace than the start of a weakening trend in housing.»
«A rebound to solid levels would indicate today's report was not the start of a trend, ... Another month near these levels would create some concern about the strength of the housing sector.»
«Okay, mild weather helped, but let's get real. People don't go out and buy houses if they are worried about the future, even if mortgage rates are fairly low and the sun is shining brightly.»
«Having more cash in your pocket and spending it are two different issues, and that is the crux of the current problem. We can cut taxes, for households or businesses, but if the willingness to spend is not there, then the cash will just pile up.»
«Housing is the one key sector that is supposed to be interest-rate sensitive, but at least so far, rates have not risen enough to cause a major retrenchment.»
«It doesn't indicate that households are going to dramatically start cutting back spending, but this does tells us that consumption, at least in this quarter, isn't going to be that great,»
«With consumers not spending, is it any surprise that the manufacturing sector has stumbled?»
«Manufacturers are not fools, and they looked out over the economy and saw that economic activity had slowed dramatically, ... Not wanting to carry inventories, they slashed production and workers. They acted correctly, but the downward spiral has been set in motion.»
«Business tax cuts may save the corporate bottom line a little bit, but they will neither induce new investment nor increase production, ... Only a rise in spending will do that.»