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Letter "E" » Ethan Harris Quotes
«That's something [economists] should have sitting in [the] back of their mind, ... We are not forecasting that, because it's hard to figure out a timing of such an event. You want to see evidence of things falling apart before you predict it. But I think the risks to the economy are greater in 2005 than in 2004.»
«The markets have forgotten two lessons from prior natural disasters.»
«The national economy usually weathers these storms with relatively minor damage. Second, the hurricane is a 'supply shock' -- a disruption to productive potential -- not a 'demand shock.' The same factors that threaten growth -- higher commodity prices, shipping bottlenecks, reduced local productive capacity -- also threaten inflation.»
«[Economists said it would be a big pair of shoes to fill.] He's got the right pedigree, ... you're replacing an icon with a mere mortal, and he's going to have to prove himself in the job.»
«The Fed is saying that 'we're being tested here, we're being tested on our anti-inflation credibility,' ... They need to sound tough. They need a pretty good bark to go with their bite.»
«That basically, in my mind, cancels out the benefits of the lower tax rates,»
«Only with very weak U.S. growth or a major drop in the U.S. dollar will the trade deficit improve on a sustained basis. The reason you need these dramatic movements is that the U.S. has, according to almost every study, an incredible appetite for imports.»
«Companies are paying more compensation and getting less productivity growth.»
«It's very likely consumer spending will slow down significantly in coming months.»
«The U.S. pointing to China is a bit like the pot calling the kettle black. The deficit with China reflects poor policy on both sides of the Pacific.»